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How Adele’s “Skyfall” Is Poised To Make Oscar History

And how a digital tiger will devour The Avengers.

1. Best Original Song

For the first time since 2004, five songs from five separate films have been nominated in this category — last year, only two songs made it to the big show. And that isn’t the only nugget of Oscar trivia tucked inside this year’s crop of Best Original Song nominees: Prior to James Franco co-hosting the Oscars (with Anne Hathaway) the same year he was nominated for Best Actor (for 127 Hours), the last Oscar host who was also a nominee was Paul Hogan, who emceed the 59th Academy Awards (with Chevy Chase and Goldie Hawn) the same year he was up for penning Crocodile Dundee. So, Seth MacFarlane, you can now cross “Have something in common with the guy from Crocodile Dundee” off your bucket list.

It’s also only the fourth time a song from a James Bond movie has been nominated for an Oscar. The other three were “Live and Let Die” (from 1973’s Live and Let Die), “Nobody Does It Better” (from 1977’s The Spy Who Loved Me), and “For Your Eyes Only” (from 1981’s For Your Eyes Only). Adele wasn’t even alive when those movies came out.

Nominees:
“Before My Time” from Chasing Ice, (Music and Lyric by J. Ralph)
“Everybody Needs A Best Friend” from Ted, (Music by Walter Murphy; Lyric by Seth MacFarlane)
“Pi’s Lullaby” from Life of Pi, (Music by Mychael Danna; Lyric by Bombay Jayashri)
“Skyfall” from Skyfall, (Music and Lyric by Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth)
“Suddenly” from Les Misérables, (Music by Claude-Michel Schönberg; Lyric by Herbert Kretzmer and Alain Boublil)

Should win: “Before My Time,” “Pi’s Lullaby,” and “Suddenly” are lovely songs that are also, alas, pretty boring. But as tempting as it is to single out Ted’s snazzy, jazzy ditty “Everybody Needs A Best Friend” (performed by Norah Jones), Adele’s “Skyfall” is the only one of these nominees to permanently lodge itself in our skulls. It doesn’t hurt that the song’s lyrics work both as a chart-topping torch song and as an allusion to James Bond’s skewed relationship with his mentor, boss, and maternal figure M.

Will win: You might think the song from Les Miz would have a fighting chance here, but the Academy hasn’t bestowed a statue upon a new song written for a feature adaptation of an established stage musical since 1995’s Evita. The smart money is on “Skyfall” — which would make it the first Bond song ever to take home an Oscar.

3. Best Visual Effects

20th Century Fox

Yeah, Marvel’s The Avengers was 2012’s highest grossing film, but it doesn’t stand a chance against Richard Parker.

Nominees:
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton, and R. Christopher White
Life of Pi, Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik-Jan De Boer, and Donald R. Elliott
Marvel’s The Avengers, Janek Sirrs, Jeff White, Guy Williams, and Dan Sudick
Prometheus, Richard Stammers, Trevor Wood, Charley Henley, and Martin Hill
Snow White and the Huntsman, Cedric Nicolas-Troyan, Philip Brennan, Neil Corbould, and Michael Dawson

Should win: You can marvel all you want at the goblins, hulks, alien squid babies, and ageless evil queens wreaking all kinds of digital havoc in their respective nominated movies. Only one features a completely digital, and utterly convincing, Bengal tiger who gives a more soulful performance than some flesh-and-blood actors: Life of Pi.

Will win: Usually, this award goes to the film with the best “never seen that before” wow factor, and among these five films, that is easily Life of Pi.

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