French Voters Think Britain Will Vote To Leave The EU

More than 1 in 2 say that the UK leaving the EU would make no difference to Europe's future. But in both cases, Britons disagree.

A majority of voters in France think Britain will vote to leave the European Union.

TNS

Of five EU countries polled by TNS in April, the French are the only ones who think the UK will leave.

Brits themselves continue to be divided over their future in the EU.

TNS

Those who say they would vote Remain are only slightly ahead with 38%, compared to Leave's 34%. And a significant number of voters is still undecided. Majorities in all other countries surveyed said they want the UK to remain in the EU (although the French by lower proportions than most other electorates).

Majorities in France and Germany said they are quite indifferent to the potential impact of Brexit.

TNS

More than 1 in 2 voters in both countries say the UK leaving the EU would make no difference to Europe's future. And 14% of French citizens think the EU would be better off financially without the UK – more than in any other of the surveyed states.

Voters in Spain, Poland, and Britain are far more pessimistic about the EU’s prospects without the UK.

Methodology

TNS interviewed 1,198 adults in the UK, 1,000 in Poland, 1,510 in France, 1,023 in Germany, and 1,000 in Spain. Interviews in the UK and France were carried out online, while in Poland, Germany, and Spain they were done via telephone. Interviews were all carried out in the first half of April. All samples are representative of each country's respective population.