Most recent album: 21 back in 2011. Maybe you’ve heard it?
Likelihood: Pretty much a sure thing. She’s in the middle of making a new record, and it should be out in the spring or summer of 2014.
2. Frank Ocean
Most recent album: Channel Orange in 2012
Likelihood: Very strong. He has been writing and recording music through 2013, and has said that a new album will be out sometime in the summer of 2014.
3. Joanna Newsom
Most recent album: Have One On Me in 2010.
Likelihood: There’s no solid intel on this, but the chances are good, if just because she’s been writing, and it’s been a while since she dropped that triple album. She debuted a new song when she performed at the Pitchfork Music Festival this summer.
Most recent album: Body Talk in 2010.
Likelihood: OK, maaaaybe? Earlier this year she said she’s been writing material, but is unsure of how it will be released, or when, or if she’s going to give her songs to other singers.
5. Kendrick Lamar
Most recent album: good kid, m.A.A.d city in 2012, plus he appeared on about 500 songs in 2013.
Likelihood: Very, very good. His second album is planned for sometime in 2014.
Most recent album: Transference in 2010. Also, Britt Daniel released an album with Divine Fits in 2012.
Likelihood: Certain. The band have been recording songs through 2013, and band member/producer Jim Eno was mixing the tracks in November.
7. Nicki Minaj
Most recent album: Pink Friday: Roman Reloaded in 2012
Likelihood: Very good. She’s been saying that a new record will be out in 2014, and promising that it will be “next level.”
Most recent album: The highly acclaimed w h o k i l l in 2011.
Likelihood: Strong. She told Consequence of Sound that she’s been writing a very “chaotic” new album tentatively titled Sink-O in June.
9. Missy Elliott
Most recent album: The Cookbook back in 2005.
Likelihood: Not so great. She’s been working on a record called Block Party for years, but it’s been rescheduled so many times that she might have just abandoned the project by now. Part of the reason for the delay is that she’s been dealing with a thyroid disease called Graves’ disease.
Most recent album: Visions in 2012
Most recent album: Modern Guilt in 2008, though he’s been involved in a lot of projects since then.
Likelihood: Definite. He announced that a new album called Morning Phase will come out in February.
Most recent album: Voodoo, all the way back in 2000.
Likelihood:: Oh, who knows? This album has been in the works for many years now, and it’s always being promised. It will come eventually, and 2014 is as good a time as any.
Most recent album: 10,000 Days in 2006.
Likelihood: It’s possible. The band have been working on a new record, but singer Maynard James Keenan told Rolling Stone that making Tool records is a long and tedious process.
14. Lana Del Rey
Most recent album: Paradise in 2012.
Likelihood: Definite. She recently announced that a new album called Ultraviolence is coming in 2014.
Most recent album: The King of Limbs in 2011, though Thom Yorke released an album with his band Atoms for Peace in 2013.
Likelihood: Unclear. Colin Greenwood mentioned in a BBC interview that the band was planning to get back together to work on new material after this summer. But who knows if that actually happened, or how long they’ll end up writing and recording.
16. Mariah Carey
Most recent album: Memoirs of an Imperfect Angel in 2009, though she released a second Christmas album, Merry Christmas II You in 2010.
Likelihood: Not bad, but don’t get your hopes too high. She’s been scheduling and then postponing a record called The Art of Letting Go for nearly two years. She released two singles attached to the record, “Beautiful” and “The Art of Letting Go,” in 2013.
17. Foo Fighters
Most recent album: Wasting Light in 2011.
Likelihood: Very good. Dave Grohl says the album is written, and will be recorded in the first half of 2014. He’s hinted at it being recorded in some unconventional way, so we’ll see how that goes.
Most recent album: The Bangarang EP in 2011.
Likelihood: Very good. He told Rolling Stone that he has a bunch of songs ready, but the album isn’t complete just yet.
19. TV on the Radio
Most recent album: Nine Types of Light in 2011.
Likelihood: Pretty good, though they aren’t currently signed to a label after splitting from Interscope earlier this year. They’ve been recording on and off through 2013, but haven’t committed to much more than releasing a few one-off singles here and there.
Most recent album: No Line on the Horizon in 2009.
Likelihood: Pretty certain. After a few years of false starts, the band has returned to Island Records and have set a tentative release date for April. They’re apparently shopping around for a “brand partner” to announce the new record in an ad during the Super Bowl in February.
21. Ms. Lauryn Hill
Most recent album: MTV Unplugged 2.0 in 2002.
Likelihood: Not bad. She recently signed to a new deal with Sony, and intends to release a new album in 2014.