3. Joanna Newsom
Most recent album: Have One On Me in 2010.
Likelihood: There’s no solid intel on this, but the chances are good, if just because she’s been writing, and it’s been a while since she dropped that triple album. She debuted a new song when she performed at the Pitchfork Music Festival this summer.
9. Missy Elliott
Most recent album: The Cookbook back in 2005.
Likelihood: Not so great. She’s been working on a record called Block Party for years, but it’s been rescheduled so many times that she might have just abandoned the project by now. Part of the reason for the delay is that she’s been dealing with a thyroid disease called Graves’ disease.
Most recent album: Voodoo, all the way back in 2000.
Likelihood:: Oh, who knows? This album has been in the works for many years now, and it’s always being promised. It will come eventually, and 2014 is as good a time as any.
Most recent album: The King of Limbs in 2011, though Thom Yorke released an album with his band Atoms for Peace in 2013.
Likelihood: Unclear. Colin Greenwood mentioned in a BBC interview that the band was planning to get back together to work on new material after this summer. But who knows if that actually happened, or how long they’ll end up writing and recording.
16. Mariah Carey
Most recent album: Memoirs of an Imperfect Angel in 2009, though she released a second Christmas album, Merry Christmas II You in 2010.
Likelihood: Not bad, but don’t get your hopes too high. She’s been scheduling and then postponing a record called The Art of Letting Go for nearly two years. She released two singles attached to the record, “Beautiful” and “The Art of Letting Go,” in 2013.
17. Foo Fighters
Most recent album: Wasting Light in 2011.
Likelihood: Very good. Dave Grohl says the album is written, and will be recorded in the first half of 2014. He’s hinted at it being recorded in some unconventional way, so we’ll see how that goes.
19. TV on the Radio
Most recent album: Nine Types of Light in 2011.
Likelihood: Pretty good, though they aren’t currently signed to a label after splitting from Interscope earlier this year. They’ve been recording on and off through 2013, but haven’t committed to much more than releasing a few one-off singles here and there.
Most recent album: No Line on the Horizon in 2009.
Likelihood: Pretty certain. After a few years of false starts, the band has returned to Island Records and have set a tentative release date for April. They’re apparently shopping around for a “brand partner” to announce the new record in an ad during the Super Bowl in February.
21. Ms. Lauryn Hill
Most recent album: MTV Unplugged 2.0 in 2002.
Likelihood: Not bad. She recently signed to a new deal with Sony, and intends to release a new album in 2014.