If you compare the Grammys with other major awards, they don't make a lot of sense. You can suss out the front-runners at the Oscars pretty easily even if you're just a casual observer of Hollywood culture, and the same goes for the Emmys and Tonys. The music industry, however, is more fragmented all the time, and it's difficult to get a sense of consensus within that world unless someone like Adele comes along and hits the perfect sweet spot of massive sales, critical acclaim, and intergenerational appeal. There are no obvious winners at this year's Grammy Awards, but there's a lot of worth contenders, which could potentially make this one of the few genuinely surprising awards shows. Here's a guide to who should win — and who probably will win — in all of the top categories.