In one week two unpopular presidents are scheduled to meet. Both came to power by offering to change their nations from the core. Only one of them offered welfare and wealth screwing his neighbor along the way.
Because that is Donald Trump's policy for Enrique Peña Nieto´s Mexico (and practically for all those who do not think like him): Fuck you!
According to a source confirmed by BuzzFeed, the president of Mexico is considering canceling the meeting with Trump, unless the negotiation benefits both countries.
Now Peña Nieto is in a tough spot.
The governing team in Mexico is not made up of high-level technical and intellectual officials, like the ones who negotiated the Free Trade Agreement in the 1990s with former president Carlos Salinas leading the way and, tragedy National, nor with an incumbent president who understands something of economics, among many other issues.
There we have Secretary of Foreign Affairs Luis Videgaray, who said during his appointment that he is not an expert on those issues but that he "comes to learn".
So the thing was easy for Trump. When asked how can you bend a country that according to him has stolen your jobs, very simple, here´s the guide for Trump to screw his your neighboringing country over:
1.- Remove the agreement that facilitates around 75 percent of your trade. The United States is Mexico's main trade partner thanks to the Free Trade Agreement, which means an inflow of almost 300 billion dollars a year.
2. Harden anti-immigrant laws.
3.- Scare them with a wall and tell them they will pay.
4.- Make them believe that they will negotiate on foreign policy.
5. Sign the executive orders to start the wall and anti-immigrant laws, a few days before negotiations start. Don´t care about what the Mexican president has to say to you.
Trump has the opportunity to present his goals, a capacity that the mexican president lacks. Peña Nieto plan to defend Mexico is vague. Canada has already said it will negotiate without mexico.
And if you doubt the void of the speech of Peña and his team, as read below:
1. National sovereignty.
2. Respect for the rule of law.
3. Constructive and purposeful vision.
4. Integration of North America.
5. Comprehensive negotiation.
And then? Mexicans ask themselves... And surely Trump and his team, as well ...
Peña Nieto has a lot more against him. He is practically alone in the battle. Most Mexicans do not approve of their mandate. In the latest survey released by the Mexican newspaper "Reforma" only 14 percent of the population approve him.
Trump and Peña have their unpopularity in common.
Peña Nieto´s popularity has plummeted since September 2014 when the 43 students disappeared and a corruption scandal surrounding his wife´s mansion became known. The Institutional Revolutionary, is ranked third in the polls heading for the presidential election of 2018.
Trump has a majority in Congress and that is enough to him, to such a degree that he even registered the motto for his re-election campaign. Thus or more uneven the negotiation.
Things have gone from bad to worse in Mexico: the economy has contracted, and growth expectations have shrunken. This is an incentive for migration to increase.
If the presidents of Mexico and the US meet in Washington, Donald is likely to tell Peña Nieto: I dont care what you say or what you do. Farewell to the migrants, and to hell with the FTA. We´re building the wall.
The FTA to the hell: the wall!
Regardless of what Trump or Peña say, thousands of Mexicans without opportunities, sunk in marginalization, continue to walk north in search of the American dream, however devalued it may be, it is brighter than a miserable existence in Mexico. They will want to leave this country to survive and they will do it with a wall or without it.
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