back to top

We’ve updated our privacy notice and cookie policy. Learn more about cookies, including how to disable them, and find out how we collect your personal data and what we use it for.

ESPN.com's Stats Projection Machine Is Drunk

It's projecting John Buck to hit 81 homers and Justin Masterson to win 44 games. Seems unrealistic.

Posted on
Advertisement

ESPN.com has taken Buck's season so far — this tiny sample size of 12 games — and used that to project a full 162 game season. So in 162 games, Buck is projected to do this.

So what this has made us just now realize is that rather than doing an actual projection by incorporating up-to-date data into a systematic prediction formula a la Nate Silver, ESPN seems to just pro-rate players' totals for the number of games remaining.

Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement