1. The “fiscal cliff” was born in 1966, in an article about the classic western, “Mackenna’s Gold.”
In a 1966 Film Daily article discussing where MacKenna’s Gold would be filmed — the United States or Spain — the term “fiscal cliff” first appeared in print, and it had nothing to do with the United States budget.
“To runaway or not to runaway,” read the article. “That was the question yesterday as writer-producer Carl Foreman presented Hollywood with a fiscal cliff-hanger awaiting [a] final decision next week on whether Foreman’s projected $5,000,000 Western epic, ‘Mackenna’s Gold,’ shall be filmed in the United States or in Spain.”
2. A version of the term next appeared a year later in 1967, this time referring to the federal budget.
Richard Spong, a writer for Editorial Research Reports, the periodical now known as CQ Researcher, wrote a piece headlined “The Fiscal Cliff-Hanger” on June 26, 1967. The article, discussing funds to be appropriated by Congress at the close of the fiscal year, appeared in the Ohio daily, the Youngstown Vindicator. Whether Spong or the Vindicator penned the fateful headline remains unknown.
4. In 2003, Senator Kent Conrad said President Bush’s tax cuts would “take this country right over the fiscal cliff.”
In an effort to fight President George W. Bush’s tax cut package, the Democrat from North Dakota took to the Senate floor to tell colleagues he couldn’t “think of anything more irresponsible than enacting this plan,” Conrad said on March 13, 2003. “If Congress were to actually adopt the plan before us, it would plunge the country off a fiscal cliff and threaten the education of our children, the financial security of our seniors, the stability of our economy, and the ultimate strength of our nation.”
Two months later, on July 15, Sen. Conrad was featured in a piece on the “CBS Evening News with Dan Rather” about the deficit. “The fact is, he’s taking us right over the cliff, right over the fiscal cliff,” said Conrad of President Bush.
The line would stick. Conrad — then a ranking member of the Senate Budget Committee, which he would go on to chair — would use the “fiscal cliff” term on the Senate Floor in September, arguing that Bush’s economic policies were “taking this country right over the fiscal cliff.”
And in February of 2004, Conrad warned then-director of the Office of Management and Budget, Joshua Bolten, that “the overall budget is increasing, spending is increasing, and we’ve got record deficits now,” said the Senator. “It doesn’t add up. If we’re honest, we know it doesn’t add up. It doesn’t come close to adding up, and he’s got us heading to the fiscal cliff.”
5. Paul Ryan liked the term, too. The GOP budget maven started using it as early as 2010 — to make a different point.
At a White House-hosted bipartisan meeting on health care legislation, Congressman Paul Ryan told President Obama and Vice President Joe Biden, “Look, we agree on the problem here, and the problem is [that] health inflation is driving us off a fiscal cliff. Mr. President, you said health care reform is budget reform. You’re right. We agree with that,” said Ryan, at the Feb. 25 meeting.
He used the phrase again that year in a Sept. 13 interview with Charlie Rose, saying, “We are walking off a fiscal cliff in this country. We have a debt that is exploding.”
7. From there, the term spread across Twitter — first as a notable Bernanke quote.
Bernanke warns lawmakers nation headed for ‘massive fiscal cliff’… http://t.co/nZwwxfhB— DRUDGE REPORT
Bernanke warns again of “fiscal cliff” at year’s end. “There is some scope for bargaining within the Congress,” he gently suggests.— Binyamin Appelbaum
Bernanke warns lawmakers country headed for ‘massive fiscal cliff’ http://t.co/jdQypIK1 #economy— The Hill
#Obamanomics: Fed boss warns of ‘massive fiscal cliff’- http://t.co/UQyueFiF #tcot— RNC
11. Then, some attention by big names in finance helped give the term its own legs.
Alan Blinder: The U.S. Cruises Toward a 2013 Fiscal Cliff: As tax cuts expire and spending falls, the economy wi… http://t.co/GL86cI57— Opinion & Commentary
Michelle Meyer on the imminent fiscal cliff. http://t.co/HtvuoWUa— Joseph Weisenthal
Richard Koo On The ‘Temporary’ Period Of Good Data, And The Economy’s Upcoming Fiscal Cliff http://t.co/rMqQv3E2— Business Insider
14. By April, it was the cool new thing.
‘fiscal cliff’ is the new ‘kicking the can down the road’— Sara Eisen
15. It was still prefaced often by a cautionary “so-called,” for readers who maybe didn’t know the phrase.
Bowles-Simpson back on table as lawmakers approach the so-called “fiscal cliff” - Read: http://t.co/giHuGn9g— CNNMoney.com