Here’s Who Spotify Thinks Is Going To Win Eurovision 2016

Hey, Sweden!

So, who's going to win Eurovision? It's pretty hard to predict, but seeing which of the songs are already popular across Europe – based on how much they've been played on Spotify – might be a good guide.

Anna Velikova (EBU)

Spotify have compiled data on the most-streamed tracks that'll be competing in this year's contest – excluding plays from the artist's home countries (because countries can't vote for themselves). Spotify isn't available everywhere in Europe (it misses out quite a bit of eastern Europe and Russia), but it still covers quite a lot of the countries that'll be voting this weekend.

How good is Spotify's track record? Well, they did pretty well last year, correctly predicting that bookie's favourite Sweden would win, and also accurately predicting top ten finishes for Australia, Estonia, Belgium, Norway, Russia, Israel and Italy.

They kind of blew it the previous year, totally missing that Conchita would sweep all before her.

Anyway, here are the top ten most-streamed Eurovision entires this year.

1. Sweden – Frans, "If I Were Sorry"

Andres Putting (EBU)

This year's hosts Sweden have a good chance of winning for a second year in a row, because according to the data this song is a MASSIVE BANGER. A Spotify spokesman told BuzzFeed that it "already has over 30 million streams globally - more than any song by The Beatles and twice that of ABBA's Waterloo." Nobody else comes close.

Frans still looks a bit sad though. Look at him.

Here it is on Spotify, or on YouTube if you'd rather.

2. France – Amir, "J'ai cherché"

Thomas Hanses

This man is so French.

Spotify/YouTube

3. Russia – Sergey Lazarev, "You Are the Only One"

Andres Putting (EBU)

Song's only a mid-level eurobanger, but this looks fucking amazing, because he is flying through space on a tiny iceberg.

Spotify/YouTube

4. Spain – Barei, "Say Yay!"

Andres Putting (EBU)

"Hello, hello Mr. Fighter / Look, there we go again / Go-getters don't forsake / They never wallow in their fate

More than a thousand miles until the end / We're never gonna know what lies ahead / We only got today / to learn from our yesterday

I feel alive bringing into play / my whole life going all the way / I'm still alive and I turn away / from broken mirrors

I feel alive when I dare to say / I wanna fight / Won't fix by running, running, running

Come on and raise your battle cry / You are the one who never dies / Hurray sing it la la la la / Go on singing la la la la

You keep on climbing over hills / Right now you're following your dreams / Hurray sing it la la la la / Hurray / Say yay yay yay"

Spotify/YouTube

5. Australia – Dami Im, "Sound of Silence"

Andres Putting (EBU)

AUSTRALIA IS STILL NOT IN EUROPE GUYS.

Spotify/YouTube

6. Bulgaria – Poli Genova, "If Love Was a Crime"

Andres Putting (EBU)

"Oh, my outfit? No, I just threw on whatever I had lying around."

Spotify/YouTube

7. Italy – Francesca Michielin, "No Degree of Separation"

Andres Putting (EBU)

Francesca Michielin has brought a garden on sticks with her, which is a very promising sign.

Spotify/YouTube

8. Denmark – Lighthouse X, "Soldiers of Love"

Thomas Hanses (EBU)

So intense.

Spotify/YouTube

9. Netherlands – Douwe Bob, "Slow Down"

Thomas Hanses (EBU)

It's not down there, it's on your back mate.

Spotify/YouTube

10. Malta – Ira Losco, "Walk on Water"

Andres Putting (EBU)

It is unclear if Ira Losco knows whether that bloke is doing that right behind her.

Spotify/YouTube

And here's all this year's Eurovision entries in one place, if you want to binge-listen.