Here’s Who Spotify Thinks Is Going To Win Eurovision

Which song is getting streamed the most?

The Eurovision Song Contest takes place in Denmark this week, prompting the usual speculation about who’s going to win and who’ll get nul points. So we thought we’d try to cheat.

Sander Hesterman (EBU)

Rather than analysing voting patterns or pondering political blocs, we thought we’d see which Eurovision entries are actually most popular with the listening public.

We asked Spotify which artists have been played the most in advance of the contest (every track in the competition is available on the streaming service). It’s not an infallible prediction of who will win (for a start, professional juries make up 50% of the final marks, not just the voting public) but we think it might be a pretty good guide. Here’s the list, running from most popular to least popular.

(Note – this list excludes streams from each artist’s home country, so it should be fairly immune to being skewed towards countries with a large Spotify user-base.)

1. Denmark – Basim, “Cliché Love Song”

Thomas Fryd / Via

If Spotify is any guide, hosts Denmark could be heading for their second win in a row. Anis Basim Moujahid’s self-penned “pop song with a hint of soul and R&B” is the most streamed song in advance of the contest - although of course, that could simply be down to curiosity about what the hosts are up to, so maybe don’t put all your money on Denmark just yet.

2. Armenia – Aram MP3, “Not Alone”

Arnos Martirosyan / Via

“This badly-lit corridor is SO WIDE!” - this guy.

(Armenia have been fairly consistently strong performers over the past few years without ever winning, and the bookies agree that Mr. MP3 has a strong chance of coming first.)

3. Israel – Mei Finegold, “Same Heart”

Lior Nordman / Via

“I’m confused by mirrors.”

4. United Kingdom – Molly, “Children Of The Universe”

Matthew Tucker / BuzzFeed / Via

Molly - kind of mediocre at European geography! But for once, the UK may actually be in with a decent chance in Denmark. It’s really a pretty good song.

5. France – Twin Twin, “Moustache”

Christophe Lartige / France 3 / Via

Oh no. I think they might be zany. They are, aren’t they? They’re zany.

6. Greece – Freaky Fortune, “Rise Up”

Maria Delakou / Via

Masters of the natural-looking laugh.

7. Norway – Carl Espen, “Silent Storm”

Kim Erlandsen/NRK / Via

“Hello, I’m the most Norwegian man ever.”

8. Austria – Conchita Wurst, “Rise Like A Phoenix”

ORF/Thomas Ramstorfer / Via

Wurst has the distinction of already having annoyed a homophobic Russian lawmaker.

9. Azerbaijan – Dilara Kazimova, “Start A Fire”

Sergey Illin / Via

Perenial overachievers Azerbaijan (they’ve got the highest points average of any regular contestants in the modern era) could be in with a shout again, which hopefully might mean Dilara Kazimova could afford a second coat of paint for that screen.

10. Albania – Hersi, “One Night’s Anger”

Avni Selmani / Via

Hersi: the slightly confrontational receptionist in the waiting room of heaven.

And here are the rest, in order:

11.Elaiza, “Is It Right” - Germany
12.Can-Linn, “Heartbeat” - Ireland
13.Mariya Yaremchuk, “Tick” - Tock” - Ukraine
14.Andras Kallay Saunders, “Running” - Hungary
15.Emma Marrone, “La Mia Città” - Italy
16.Teo, “Cheesecake” - Belarus
17.Sanna Nielsen, “Undo” - Sweden
18.Tanja, “Amazing” - Estonia
19.Softengine, “Something Better” - Finland
20.Tinkara Kovač, “Round And Round” - Slovenia
21.Sebalter, “Hunter Of Stars” - Switzerland
22.Paula Seling, “Miracle” - Romania
23.Axel Hirsoux, “Mother” - Belgium
24.FireLight, “Coming Home” - Malta
25.Aarzemnieki, “Cake To Bake” - Latvia
26.Donatan & Cleo, “My Slowianie” - We Are Slavic” - Poland
27.Suzy, “Quero Ser Tua” - Portugal
28.Sergej Cetkovic, “Moj Svijet” - Montenegro
29.Ruth Lorenzo, “Dancing In The Rain” - Spain
30.Pollapönk, “No Prejudice” - Iceland
31.The Shin and Mariko, “Three Minutes To Earth” - Georgia
32.Tijana, “To The Sky” - F.Y.R. Macedonia
33.The Common Linnets, “Calm After The Storm” - The Netherlands
34.Christina Scarlat, “Wild Soul” - Moldova
35.Vilija Matačiūnaitė, “Attention” - Lithuania
36.Tolmachevy Sisters, “Shine” - Russia
37.Valentina Monetta, “Maybe (Forse)” - San Marino

You can listen to every track here:

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Tom Phillips is the UK editorial director for BuzzFeed and is based in London.
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