The Golden State Warriors have won the first 23 games of this NBA season, extending their regular-season winning streak to 27 games. That's good enough for second place among the NBA's best streaks, which the Miami Heat also achieved in 2013. (Or third place, if you don't count the Warriors' four wins at the end of last regular season.)
But to tie the NBA record — 33 straight, set by the 1971–72 Los Angeles Lakers — the Warriors will have to win their next 10 games. What are the odds of that happening?
To arrive at that estimate, BuzzFeed News combined per-game projections produced by FiveThirtyEight's "CARM-Elo" statistical model. CARM-Elo gives the Warriors a 70% chance of beating the Boston Celtics on Friday, and an 87% chance of beating the Milwaukee Bucks in their next game after that.
Multiply the probabilities for the Warriors' next 20 games, and you get the following odds for the Warriors extending their streak to X number of games:
Jeremy Singer-Vine is the data editor for the BuzzFeed News investigative unit and is based in New York. His secure PGP fingerprint is E2B0 63DB 0601 D634 1E9E F9AE 9F24 768F 9B4A EFB0
Contact Jeremy Singer-Vine at firstname.lastname@example.org.
Got a confidential tip? Submit it here.