It Will Be 2035 Before We Have Full Gender Equality In Parliament

    We crunched the numbers, and at the rate they’re going the Coalition won’t have gender equality until 2055.

    Australia has a long way to go if it is to achieve gender equality in federal parliament, with women holding only 26.7% of seats in the federal House of Representatives.

    A BuzzFeed News analysis of female representation in parliament shows that while Labor outperforms the Coalition, both major parties are still well short of equal representation.

    At the 2013 election, 38% of Labor MPs elected were women, while that figure is only 20% for the Coalition.

    The issue of gender inequality has been making headlines lately, with Liberal MP Sharman Stone calling for her party to introduce quotas, and Labor increasing affirmative action targets at its recent national conference.

    The idea of a quota is not supported by most Liberal MPs, with many supporting a target instead. This includes Kelly O'Dwyer, who told Lateline that "when you measure something, you achieve better outcomes and I'd like to think that we can achieve better outcomes".

    The ALP is aiming to reach 50% representation by women by 2025, but a look at the numbers shows we're a long way off.

    BuzzFeed News analysed the gender split of the lower house. This graph shows just how far from equal it is.

    The number of women in parliament has been slowly rising over the years. But if the current rate of increase were to continue, how long would it take before we reached a 50/50 split?

    This analysis shows that we won't reach 50/50 gender representation until the year 2035.

    Within the Coalition, it's even worse.

    This picture shows the trend, and just how far away we are from 2055.

    It's a long way, isn't it?

    Of course, this all assumes that there won't be any change in the way the Liberal Party selects its candidates, and doesn't include any impact of the new Labor Party quota.

    This is an extrapolation of current trends, using a model with not much data. It may not be a statistically rigorous estimate, but it shows that the major parties are a very long way from 50/50, and progress has been slower than Bill Shorten delivering a zinger.

    To show just how far away 2035 is, here are 9 things that will happen before we reach gender equality in the federal parliament

    1. Wyatt Roy will have been in parliament for 25 years. (Assuming he hasn't been replaced by a woman)

    2. Philip Ruddock will be 93.

    3. Nikki Webster will be on her way to retirement age.

    4. The Spice Girls classic debut album will turn 38.

    5. The population of the world will be around 9 billion.

    6. The Simpsons will reach Season 46.

    7. Neighbours will turn 50.

    8. Elvis would be turning 100.

    9. ...but you still won't have your damn hoverboard.