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Can "Amour" Possibly Lose Best Foreign Language Film?

No. But Best Documentary Feature and Best Cinematography are much more competitive.

Best Foreign Language Film

Best Feature Documentary

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The first four nominees tackle difficult, knotty topics: The Israeli occupation of the West Bank; the history of Israel's war on terrorism from the men who ran it; the early days of the AIDS crisis; and the epidemic of rape in the U.S. military. The last is a heartwarming story about the uncommon comeback of a Detroit musician. Which one do you think is the favorite to win?

Nominees:

5 Broken Cameras, Emad Burnat and Guy Davidi

The Gatekeepers, Dror Moreh, Philippa Kowarsky, and Estelle Fialon

How to Survive a Plague, David France and Howard Gertler

The Invisible War, Kirby Dick and Amy Ziering

Searching for Sugar Man, Malik Bendjelloul and Simon Chinn

Should win: How to Survive a Plague is a vital reminder of a literal life-or-death struggle that many younger gay men likely know little about. The Invisible War calls attention to a horrific (and horrifically underreported) problem. But The Gatekeepers makes actual history: Director Dror Moreh somehow got the six former heads of Israel's intelligence agency Shin Bet — who have never been interviewed before — to give candid and riveting accounts of Israel's constantly fraught struggle for peace and security.

Will win: Searching for Sugar Man — about forgotten Motown musician Sixto Rodriguez, and how he was rediscovered by two South Africans desperate to find the man who was still a legend in their country — is such a crowd pleaser that most have pegged it as the favorite to win. We won't stand in its way. (But The Gatekeepers could be a good surprise winner for your ballot.)

Best Cinematography