Romney Campaign Sets Expectations High For Convention Bump
In a background briefing with reporters in Boston today, a top Romney adviser explained that they expect to see a bigger bump from their convention than President Barack Obama’s. Here is why:
1. On Average, Incumbent Presidents Receive A Seven Point Bounce On The Ballot Following Their Convention
Data from 1976-2004 in includes years in which an incumbent President was running for re-election.
(Polling data was taken from Gallup, Harris, CNN, CBS/NYT, NBC/WSJ, ABC/Wash Post, Fox News survey.)
2. THE AVERAGE CONVENTION BUMP FOR CHALLENGERS IS EVEN GREATER…
Data from 1976-2004 in includes years in which an incumbent President was running for re-election.
(Polling data was taken from Gallup, Harris, CNN, CBS/NYT, NBC/WSJ, ABC/Wash Post, Fox News survey.)
3. And, Challangers’ Images Improve Significantly More After Their Convention Than Incumbents’
Data from 1976-2004 in includes years in which an incumbent President was running for re-election.
(Polling data was taken from Gallup, Harris, CNN, CBS/NYT, NBC/WSJ, ABC/Wash Post, Fox News survey.)
UPDATE: An earlier set of images accompanying this item were removed because of a miscommunication over the terms on which they were shared with BuzzFeed. These images reflect the same data.
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Carl Meadows 9 months agoCan they even proof read their own charts? So Obama gets a 7 point bump from the GOP convention? Not exactly the crack team they got there.
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- Melvin Martinez Romney Campaign Sets Expectations Hig... and thinks it’s Hooray & Ew
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