Florida is trending Romney and Obama hasn’t seen the bottom of his popularity there yet. The steady erosion of independents nationwide is the problem, not to mention disaffection of moderate Democrats. Those Democratic primary voters in West Virginia and Kentucky who voted for Uncommitted and Wolfe are a very bad harbinger not to be dismissed. Many such voters in all states may not show up or secretly pull the lever for Romney. I seriously doubt Obama will take Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio, or Nevada. Florida is a goner and they should forget about it.