Ed Helms, Zach Galifianakis, Bradley Cooper, and Sasha Barrese in The Hangover Part III
The verdicts, including BuzzFeed’s, were not kind to The Hangover Part III’s box office performance over Memorial Day weekend. It’s easy to understand why. The movie made less than half what The Hangover Part II made the same weekend in 2011. From Friday to Sunday, Part III even made slightly less than the first Hangover’s debut weekend in 2009. This is simply not a trajectory one wants, or expects, for a threequel of a major franchise — especially one with a reported $100 million budget. (Though this matters less for R-rated comedies, it was also the worst reviewed film in the series.)
But The Hangover Part III was not a disaster. Far from it. Here’s why:
1. It’s the best debut for a comedy this year.
Over its first five days, Part III is out-pacing Identity Thief by roughly $12 million. In fact, this is the best opening weekend for a comedy since Ted opened with $54 million last June. It’s been a a rough year for comedies, so any time audiences flock to a movie designed to make them laugh is good news.
2. It had an insane amount of competition.
In 2011, The Hangover Part II had pretty much zero competition for under-50 men — Thor had been out for 4 weeks (and was nowhere near an Avengers/Iron Man 3-style juggernaut), and Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides was meant as more of a four-quadrant family film.
By contrast, this past weekend featured Iron Man 3, Star Trek Into Darkness, and Fast and Furious 6 all pounding away at the same core group of 18-to-49-year-old guys. The comparison against Fast 6’s beefy box office especially affected the perception that Hangover Part III was some kind of weakling. But what’s miraculous here is that despite all the heavy competition, everyone walked away with a hefty chunk of change, resulting in the biggest Memorial Day weekend in box office history.
3. It will make money, thanks to foreign box office.
The Hangover Part III opened in three overseas markets — the UK, Australia, and New Zealand — over the weekend, and while it was also down in comparison to its predecessor, it was a smaller drop: roughly 36%, according to figures from Box Office Mojo. Apply that to Part II’s total overseas gross, and Part III stands to make north of $200 million in foreign sales. That’s more than enough for Warner Bros. to recoup the budget, and U.S. ticket sales should take care of the marketing costs. (In comparison, Identity Thief has made just $38 million internationally.)
This isn’t the runaway blockbuster Warner Bros. was hoping for. But there is simply no denying that The Hangover Part III is on its way to being a solid hit.